• Commentary,  Employment & Unemployment,  Macroeconomics

    Appearing Before the Senate Committee On Banking, Commerce and the Economy

    Centre for Future Work Economist and Director Jim Stanford was invited to appear as a witness before the Senate of Canada’s Standing Committee on Banking, Commerce and the Economy, to discuss the darkening outlook for Canada’s job market, and appropriate policy responses. The appearance lasted for one hour. Jim’s appearance was broadcast on CPAC. Here is a video link (Jim’s testimony starts at the 1:01:00 mark): Here are Jim’s speaking notes for his opening remarks: Speaking Notes for Dr. Jim Stanford, Economist and Director of the Centre for Future Work       Madam Chair and Senators, thank you very much for the opportunity to appear before you today. I…

  • Inflation,  Macroeconomics,  Research

    Slowing Economy Should Give Bank of Canada Pause … But It Won’t

    New GDP data released last week confirm that higher interest rates and other headwinds have already slowed economic growth in Canada to a crawl. This should give the Bank of Canada pause to reconsider its schedule of aggressive interest rate hikes. That inflation was never attributable to overheated domestic economic conditions. Instead, statistical evidence indicates that current inflation is mostly the result of several unique post-pandemic factors: supply chain disruptions, higher energy prices, and a catch-up of consumer spending from depressed pandemic levels. Moreover, those largely temporary forces are already abating: several key global price indicators have fallen substantially in recent months (including petroleum, food, and shipping costs). By undercutting…

  • Commentary,  Employment & Unemployment,  Inflation,  Macroeconomics

    Don’t Make Monetary Policy on Twitter

    The Bank of Canada has been under attack from all sides for its actions (or, in some critics’ eyes, inaction) in response to rising inflation. To reinforce public support for its actions, the Bank has launched a communications offensive to explain – and justify – its actions. The Bank even posted a lengthy thread on Twitter arguing that since inflation hurts “all Canadians,” its efforts to bring inflation down through rapid interest rate hikes will benefit us all. This attempt to dumb-down monetary policy making was not just ineffective in its tone. It inadvertently revealed major flaws in the Bank’s economic reasoning. In this commentary, originally published in the Toronto…