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Lessons from (Another) Crude Oil Price Collapse
This commentary draws on analysis of oil futures markets contained in the Centre for Future Work’s recent report, Counting the Costs: Impacts of the 2022 Oil Price Shock for Canadian Consumers and Workers, by Jim Stanford and Erin Weir. That report computes the costs of the 2022 oil price spike for Canadians: directly & indirectly it cost the average Canadian household $12,000 over 3 years.
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Most of our GDP Never Crosses a Border
Most of what our economy produces—close to 80%—never crosses a national border. Rather, it is produced in Canada, by Canadians, for Canadians. In fact, the economy is not as ‘globalized’ as is often assumed. To be sure, Trump’s trade war will cause enormous disruption. But Canadians should feel confident in out country’s ability to survive, and ultimately thrive
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Three New Videos: Trump’s Trade War; Wages, Profits & Prices; and Defending Living Standards
President Donald Trump’s repeated threats against Canada’s economy have caused great alarm. Meanwhile, home-grown right-wing populist forces have been advancing similar arguments here at home: claiming all of Canada’s problems arise from big government, big unions, or high taxes.
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Canada needs a new National Policy
U.S. President Trump’s imposition of 25% tariffs on most imports from Canada will cause severe economic dislocation across Canada. Hopefully, a combination of negotiations backed by counter-measures announced by Canada will succeed in removing the tariffs in coming months. However, Trump’s actions have permanently damaged the credibility of any Canadian economic strategy based on continental free trade. In this commentary, originally published in the Toronto Star, Centre for Future Work Director Jim Stanford argues Canada needs to develop a new ‘National Policy’: one focused first and foremost on developing Canadian industries and capacities....
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Amazon’s Union-Busting in Quebec Can Be Overcome
Amazon, the fourth-richest corporation in the world, recently announced the closure of 7 of its warehouses in Quebec because one of them (in Laval) had voted to unionize, and was about to attain a collective agreement (thanks to Quebec’s first-contract arbitration system). This decision will throw 1700 workers out of their jobs. In this commentary, originally published in Canadian Dimension magazine, Centre for Future Work Director Jim Stanford considers options for overcoming Amazon’s union-busting strategy.
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Strikes Have Economics Benefits, Not Just Costs
In the tumultuous years since the COVID pandemic and the subsequent outbreak of inflation, Canada has experienced a large number of work stoppages. Canada experienced over 800 strikes and lockouts in 2023, resulting in 6.6 million days of work time lost. That’s much higher than in most recent years, but still lower than peak levels of industrial disputes experienced in the 1970s and 1980s.
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‘Vibecession’: Reconciling Positive Statistics with Negative Sentiment
Newly released data for the third quarter of 2024 (July-September) shows the economy has continued to grow, albeit slowly. Consumer spending was the brightest light in the third quarter data: growing at an annualized rate of 3.5% (in real, inflation-adjusted terms), and constituting the largest single source of new demand.
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High-Tech Price-Fixing
One worrisome feature of recent bursts of inflation has been the role of automated price-fixing technologies in pushing up prices across entire industries. Companies use special programs to search out the prices being charged by competitors, and detect changes in demand. These algorithms can then adjust prices quickly, at the level judged to be the highest the market will bear.
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Yes, Public Sector Jobs Count, Too
B.C.’s unemployment has been among the lowest in Canada for several years, economic growth and business investment have been among the strongest, and the province now has the highest hourly wages for employees of any province. Yet some business commentators try to debunk that record, claiming it’s all due to public sector spending and hiring.
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Explainer Video on Corporate Power and Profit-Led Inflation
Centre for Future Work Director Jim Stanford is featured in a new 6-minute video, produced by the Broadbent Institute, discussing the role of corporate price hikes in post-pandemic inflation.